Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/generallyspeaking/~3/9zagq1U77IU/
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Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/generallyspeaking/~3/KDuuF16DpJ8/
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Source: http://scottbeveridge.blogspot.com/2011/12/christmas-sugar-fix-fulfilled.html
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Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/generallyspeaking/~3/f885QZ7t7Bo/
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Source: http://stitchybritches.blogspot.com/2008/08/crochet-time-to-make.html
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Source: http://scottbeveridge.blogspot.com/2012/01/warm-crab-dip-with-golden-mushroom-soup.html
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Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/generallyspeaking/~3/upBscyV3qwo/
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Spain's sovereign credit rating was cut for the second time this year by Standard & Poor's on concern that the country will have to provide further fiscal support to banks as the economy contracts.100% Certain Conditions in Spain Worsen
S&P lowered the long-term grade to BBB+ from A, with a negative outlook. Spain?s short-term rating was reduced to A-2 from A-1, New York-based S&P said in a statement yesterday.
?Spain?s budget trajectory will likely deteriorate against a background of economic contraction,? S&P wrote in the statement yesterday. ?At the same time, we see an increasing likelihood that Spain?s government will need to provide further fiscal support to the banking sector. As a consequence, we believe there are heightened risks that Spain?s net general govern debt could rise further.?
?We could also consider a downgrade if political support for the current reform agenda were to wane,? the S&P statement said. ?Moreover, we could lower the ratings if we see that Spain?s external position worsens or its competitiveness does not continue to approach that of its trading partners, a key factor for Spain to return to sustainable economic and employment growth.?
Spanish banks probably need 50 billion euros of additional capital, Morgan Stanley analysts estimate. The figure may rise to as much as 160 billion euros in a worst-case scenario, said Elaine Lin, a strategist at Morgan Stanley in London. The banks could try to raise the capital themselves or get it from either the Spanish government or the European Financial Stability Facility, she said.How Much?
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Spain's sovereign credit rating was cut for the second time this year by Standard & Poor's on concern that the country will have to provide further fiscal support to banks as the economy contracts.100% Certain Conditions in Spain Worsen
S&P lowered the long-term grade to BBB+ from A, with a negative outlook. Spain?s short-term rating was reduced to A-2 from A-1, New York-based S&P said in a statement yesterday.
?Spain?s budget trajectory will likely deteriorate against a background of economic contraction,? S&P wrote in the statement yesterday. ?At the same time, we see an increasing likelihood that Spain?s government will need to provide further fiscal support to the banking sector. As a consequence, we believe there are heightened risks that Spain?s net general govern debt could rise further.?
?We could also consider a downgrade if political support for the current reform agenda were to wane,? the S&P statement said. ?Moreover, we could lower the ratings if we see that Spain?s external position worsens or its competitiveness does not continue to approach that of its trading partners, a key factor for Spain to return to sustainable economic and employment growth.?
Spanish banks probably need 50 billion euros of additional capital, Morgan Stanley analysts estimate. The figure may rise to as much as 160 billion euros in a worst-case scenario, said Elaine Lin, a strategist at Morgan Stanley in London. The banks could try to raise the capital themselves or get it from either the Spanish government or the European Financial Stability Facility, she said.How Much?
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Click on the picture to go to Flickr and get sizes for printing.
Source: http://stitchybritches.blogspot.com/2008/11/walkers-705.html
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Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/generallyspeaking/~3/byh0BzD6DjU/
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There is still time left to vote for your favorite beadwoven creation in the Etsy Beadweavers' monthly challenge. This month's challenge was selected by our previous winner, Patrizia of Triz Designs. Patrizia has challenged our members to "Choose a fashion style from any period of fashion and design a piece to fit that chosen style/period." We do this for fun and to show the world the extent of our creativity...the prize is just the honor of selecting the next month's challenge. Please take a minute or two to look at all the wonderful designs, created entirely by hand and with original designs (using patterns from other designers is not allowed), and vote for your favorite. This month I entered a piece (#32) entitled "Metropolis", which plays on some of the design elements popular during the Art Deco period.
Source: http://ambrosianbeads.blogspot.com/2011/03/time-to-vote-on-fashion-through-ages.html
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25 April 2012Europe Faces Japan Syndrome
Perhaps the most memorable comment Mario Draghi made to the European Parliament today was the need for a euro area Growth Pact, but he did draw comfort from the results of the ECB?s latest Bank Lending survey.
Draghi made reference to the fact that the balance of firms tightening credit conditions had fallen (from 35% in January to 9%). However, that it is not to say that credit conditions are actually easing, just that they are no longer tightening at the same rate as in January.
Not only are credit conditions still tightening, albeit at a slower rate, but importantly the ECB?s latest Bank Lending survey shows credit demand collapsing. This is not something that Mario Draghi mentioned to the European Parliament at all.
Europe (minus Germany) looks more like post-bubble Japan each month.Live with the Consequences Indeed
The long-feared credit crunch has mutated instead into a collapse in DEMAND for loans. Households and firms are comatose, or scared stiff, in a string of countries.
Demand for housing loans fell 70pc in Portugal, 44pc in Italy, and 42pc in the Netherlands in the first quarter of 2012. Enterprise loans fell 38pc in Italy. The survey took place in late March and early April, and therefore includes the second of Mario Draghi?s ?1 trillion liquidity infusion (LTRO).
The ECB said net demand for loans had fallen "to a significantly lower level than had been expected in the fourth quarter of 2011, with the decline driven in particular by a further sharp drop in financing needs for fixed investment." Demand fell 43pc for household loans, and 30pc for non-bank firms.
This slump in loan demand is more or less what happened during Japan?s Lost Decade as Mr and Mrs Watanabe shunned debt. Zero interest rates did nothing. The Bank of Japan was "pushing on a string" (though it never really launched bond purchases with any serious determination).
The credit squeeze is entirely predictable ? and was widely predicted ? given that banks must raise their core Tier 1 capital ratios to 9pc by July to meet EU rules, or face nationalisation. (The pro-cyclical folly of this beggars belief: by all means impose higher buffers, but not during a recession, and not by letting banks slash their balance sheets. The US at least forced its banks to raise capital, an entirely different policy since it does not lead to a lending crunch.)
The IMF said last week that Europe?s banks would slash their balance sheets by ?2 trillion ? or 7pc ? by next year. This amounts to an economic shock. The Fund said deleveraging on this scale at a time of sharp fiscal tightening risks a "bad equilibrium".
Or one analyst said, the LTRO lets northern banks dump their bond holdings onto Club Med banks. The renationalisation of the eurozone financial system goes a step further.
The LTRO "carry trade" is already revealing the sting in its tail in any case since the banks are by now underwater on a lot of bonds. What happens if and when they need to sell those bonds to cover debts falling due over the next year?
Until the ECB conducts monetary policy with proper energy, calls for "Growth Compacts" from governments amount to humbug. The ECB needs to do its own work.
We all know why it will not do so: because Hayekian romantics at the Bundesbank hold sway, and none of the other governors dare say boo. Live with the consequences.
As if Basel III weren?t enough of a headache, big European banks face a deadline of June 30 from the European Banking Authority to increase their core Tier-1 capital ratios to 9%, equivalent to raising ?115bn in equity.Is That All Bad News?
In theory, banks can meet this by retaining profits, raising equity or shrinking assets. But with equity markets all but closed to banks and earnings falling, a crash diet to reduce their bloated balance sheets is the only realistic option.
Analysts expect that the great bank deleveraging of 2012 could see as much as $2 trillion to $3 trillion of assets trimmed from European banks? balance sheets ? or about 5% of total assets ? with damaging consequences not only for the banking industry but for the fragile European economy.
Here is a rough guide to some of the inevitable consequences ? some deliberate, some unintended and some obscure ? of this deleveraging on the investment banking industry.
Death of profits, jobs and banks
The most obvious impact of deleveraging will be the devastation it will wreak on the profits of investment banks. In 2006, Goldman Sachs posted a return on equity of 33% and its core leverage ? assets divided by equity ? was 29 times. Fast forward to the first nine months of this year, and its return on equity was 3.7% with leverage of 14 times. Not because it has radically shrunk its balance sheet (yet) but because it has more than doubled its equity.
The same process will play out across the industry, where the combination of an increase in the cost of business driven by regulation is colliding with a downturn in activity. This will choke off profits, with JP Morgan forecasting that average ROE for the industry will fall to just 8% next year. That?s in line with research by Financial News that shows average pretax ROE in the first nine months of this year was 12% (or about 8% net).
Structurally lower profitability has already prompted banks such as Credit Suisse and UBS to slash their fixed income trading activities. While the thousands of job cuts seem harsh, they are often in the low single digits in terms of overall headcount. As more banks grasp the nettle in 2012, they will pull out of entire business lines, cutting 10% or 20% of their staff ? or pull out of investment banking altogether.
The Promised LandBanks Should Be Banks, Not Hedge Funds
In all of this, there is some good news. For those banks that can survive the rigours of deleveraging without having to pull out of entire regions or businesses while retaining a profitable operation, there is a Promised Land on the other side. Overcapacity in the investment banking industry will be whittled away to leave a smaller number of bigger and (relatively) more profitable global banks whose scale will increasingly play to their advantage.
Bankers talk of JP Morgan, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs and perhaps one other ? maybe Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Barclays Capital or Citi ? emerging stronger than ever. At the same time there will be a larger number of product and sector specialists, which will drop the ?me-too? approach of the past decade.
In this new world, with a realistic price for risk and credit and less competition, margins can only go one way: up.
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Source: http://scottbeveridge.blogspot.com/2011/12/twitter-and-business-marriage-success.html
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Source: http://stitchybritches.blogspot.com/2008/10/iron-on-transfer-pencil-tutorial.html
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Source: http://ambrosianbeads.blogspot.com/2010/05/necklace-makes-another-treasury.html
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The Dutch governing coalition collapsed on Saturday when far-right politician Geert Wilders pulled out of budget cut talks, saying it was not in the Netherlands? interest to meet the deficit limit of three per cent imposed by the new European fiscal pact.Czech Government Collapse On the Way
EU-imposed austerity measures have cost leaders in southern European countries, including Greece, Italy and Spain, their jobs. With the fall of the conservative Dutch government, and the possibility that Nicolas Sarkozy may lose the French presidential election that begins on Sunday, the damage seems to have spread to Europe?s prosperous north.
Highlighting widespread voter anger over EU-imposed budget cuts, Mr Wilders said he could not allow Dutch citizens to ?pay out of their pockets for the senseless demands of Brussels?.
?We don?t want to follow Brussels? orders. We don?t want to make our retirees bleed for Brussels? diktats,? Mr Wilders said.
The loss of Mr Wilders? support left the conservative government of Mark Rutte, prime minister, with just over a third of the seats in parliament.
Mr Rutte and other party leaders said that made new elections inevitable. He is expected to offer his cabinet?s resignation to the Dutch Queen on Monday, but leave the cabinet in place as a caretaker government until elections are held, probably in September.
Exiting the government at this stage will allow Mr Wilders to disclaim any responsibility for unpopular budget cuts. But the biggest winner in elections could be the far-left eurosceptic Socialist party, which has seen its support rise to as much as 20 per cent of the electorate over the past year.
Meanwhile, Dutch analysts said the inability of even the prosperous, deficit-averse Netherlands to generate voter support for Europe-directed budget cuts called the sustainability of the EU fiscal pact into question.
The Czech government faces a test of its ability to continue governing after an ambitious fiscal tightening programme splintered the ruling coalition and brought tens of thousands of protesters on to the streets of Prague at the weekend.Slovakia Government Collapse
Petr Necas, premier, has set a Monday deadline for a breakaway group from Public Affairs ? the smallest of the three parties that made up his centre-right coalition ? to demonstrate that it has the support of at least 10 MPs, which would give him a working majority in the 200-member parliament.
Mr Necas has sacrificed much of his popularity after introducing a series of tax increases and benefit cuts in order to keep the budget deficit below 3 per cent next year. The additional measures were brought in after the Czech Republic posted worse than expected growth numbers ? largely a consequence of the slowdown in the eurozone, the country?s largest export market.
?We cannot behave in a populist way and we must continue our policy of budget responsibility and debt reduction,? Mr Necas told reporters after one of the largest demonstrations in the Czech Republic?s post-communist history filled the streets of the capital on Saturday to protest at his policies and to show disgust with political corruption.
Organisers estimated that about 120,000 people attended, many of them jangling keys as a signal for the government to go ? an echo of the protests that ousted the communists in 1989.
Austria, Slovakia, Croatia and Czech Republic gripped by sleaze allegations involving senior politicians and governing parties.On May 6 the Greek government is likely to collapse, and Nicolas Sarkozy will be ousted as president of France.
Ruling parties, political elites and former ministers in a string of EU countries are embroiled in cash-for-influence scandals that are exposing widespread allegations of corruption, triggering public revulsion and a voters' backlash.
Hunting parties, expensive gifts, drunken car crashes, secret police wiretaps, paper bags stuffed with money and public budgets being treated as private accounts all feature in the lurid revelations and allegations being leaked daily on to the front pages of central Europe.
Austria, Slovakia, Croatia and the Czech Republic are in the throes of sleaze allegations involving senior politicians and governing parties said to be funded by dirty money.
Tales of criminality, thuggery, and vast amounts of cash flowing to politicians from companies, lobbyists, and middlemen are dominating the newspapers and blogosphere across central Europe. In contrast, successful prosecutions are extremely rare for a political class that often seems to operate with impunity. Austria, Slovakia, Croatia, and the Czech Republic are in the throes of major sleaze allegations involving senior politicians and governing parties said to be funded by dirty money.
In Austria a special parliamentary committee investigating political corruption is questioning serving and former ministers this week about a convoluted web of alleged bribery and profiteering from government tenders and skewed legislation.
In an election this month next door in Slovakia, the new prime minister, Robert Fico, won a landslide after support for his rivals on the right collapsed when secret police files about the buying and selling of MPs were unearthed by a Canadian journalist and posted on the internet.
The secret police files, codenamed Gorilla, featured wiretaps of leading financiers meeting discreetly with centre-right governing politicians to trade government tenders for cash.
the latest scandal to rock the region centres on a Czech businessman and a former Prague mayor who are accused of in effect controlling the city's ?2bn budget between them.
The businessman, Roman Janou?ek, had long been labelled the "shadow mayor" owing to his close links with city hall, but it was not until transcripts of what are believed to be wiretaps of conversations between him and his long-time ally, former Prague city mayor Pavel B�m, were published in the daily Mlad� Fronta Dnes that the scale of their alleged rigging of the city finances started to come to light.
The conversations appear to include discussions about influencing sales of city and public property, arranging expensive gifts for city officials and fixing high-ranking official posts.
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I came across these on Flickr today and thought "tea towels!"
The caption from the Flickr owner reads: "Illustration from the "Coloring Fun" feature "Let's Bake a Cake", Humpty Dumpty's magazine January 1958. Illustrated by Dave Lyons.
Print these on plain white stock and Crayola your brains out!"
...so I think he wouldn't mind us stitching them either?
Source: http://stitchybritches.blogspot.com/2008/10/stitching-fun.html
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I scanned this one, because I saw it blogged the other week with a different cover, I'll find the link and add it in here. Update : - it was Claudia's blog, the patterns are here.
Source: http://stitchybritches.blogspot.com/2008/08/aunt-martha-vegie-melodrama.html
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Source: http://ambrosianbeads.blogspot.com/2011/08/embellishing-runway-with-beads.html
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Source: http://scottbeveridge.blogspot.com/2011/12/christmas-sugar-fix-fulfilled.html
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Source: http://stitchybritches.blogspot.com/2010/02/owl-love-you.html
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Source: http://microcosmic.blogspot.com/2008/02/new-growing-season.html
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